Thursday, September 22, 2005

Rita: Why I'm Still Worried

NOAA Discussion:
Although Rita has wobbled westward during the past couple of
hours...the overall motion during the past several hours has
remained west-northwestward...about 300/9. There are no changes to
the official track forecast...since the various dynamical models
straddle the previous advisory track. Rita is expected to
gradually turn northwestward and eventually northward as the high
to its north slides eastward. Rita is forecast to then essentially
stall in about three days in the area of northeastern Texas where
steering currents are forecast to become very weak. This scenario
poses a great risk of very heavy rainfall well inland and for many
days after landfall.
More blogs about the woodlands rita.